Today is my birthday. I was born on the day that Reagan won re-election for a second Presidential term. It must have been destined that I would have strong views and interests in politics.
It is not a smart thing to do. I refer to making political predictions – actually, predictions in general seem like a bad idea. How do gypsies ever make a living? When you are right people expect you to be right. When you are wrong people like to scoff.
I am not afraid. Please note the time: 4:30pm. Here are my predictions, from an A.C. perspective.
Fifth Ward Councilman – Dennis Mason will win re-election. Everyone that I have spoken with says one of two things about Zingarelli: 1) “Isn’t he the guy who stole electricity? and 2) “Everyone wearing a Zingarelli shirt is an alcoholic.”
Our reports show that Mason has a strong showing at the fifth ward polling places.
Sixth Ward Councilman – Tim Mancuso has held this council seat for close to two decades. Steve Layman has spent considerable money in challenging the seat. Ytit Chauhan has come out strong with some positive media.
Ytit would have been better off with a shorter campaign. Like Obama, his youthful appeal has petered-out as his statements and stances on the issues betray a lack of political understanding.
Steve Layman is putting together a formidable challenge, but Mancuso is too well-liked and known in the sixth ward. This will be the closest that Mancuso will come to losing, but he will pull out the win.
Councilman At-Large – I thought that George Tibbitt had the election in the bag. However, three factors work against him: 1) Ernest Coursey’s campaign picked up steam very quickly and is vying for Tibbitt’s votes, 2) The weather works to reduce the number of voters that will turn out from the Tibbitt/Coursey base, and 3) Tibbitt [DELETED PER MANAGING EDITOR].
Mike Toland has a strong base and history in A.C. He will pull-out a close victory.
Freeholder At-Large – Joe McDevitt will unseat Joe Kelly. The county-wide republicans, who largely stayed home when Kelly first won, will be out in force to re-claim this seat.
County Executive – Jim McGettigan has consistently lost his credibility on all issues. Dennis Levinson will will comfortably.
Freeholder, District 1 – John Bettis will defeat Charles Garrett.
Assembly District 2 – Vince Polistina and John Amodeo will take the day.
Senate, District 2 – Jim Whelan would have been a schoo-in, but what hurts him more than his history as a Mayor, is the political climate in A.C. All political factions in A.C. are as active as ever. Whelan will overwhelmingly win P’Ville, but Sonny McCullough will pull a respectable number of votes from A.C. (for a Republican). That will be enough to put McCullough over the top.
All four ballot questions will fail and Steve Lonegan will face-off against Chris Christie in the Gubernatorial race.